Προβλέψεις για Jasmine Paolini — Νίκολα Μπάρτουνκοβα

Bartunkova’s Beijing wins over Sabalenka and Muchova are in the price, but yesterday’s 2-hour-47-minute match with Tagger is more relevant now. She made only 64 of 129 first serves and hit 13 double faults; the three-set recovery was good, though it came after a long day and a short turnaround.

Paolini had the lighter singles schedule, and against Bejlek she found depth on return and rebuilt her position after setbacks. There are limits to that read: she hit seven double faults, and her leads have also slipped against Snigur and Cirstea. Still, Paolini +2.5 games allows for a close loss as well as a win.

Andreeva’s semifinal showed how steady return pressure can unsettle Bartunkova’s serve. Bartunkova has also let leads go this season, though her improved closing in Beijing matters. Paolini to win outright asks too much of a player still struggling to consolidate; over 21.5 is less clear, since breaks can shorten sets and fatigue can make a decider one-sided. The handicap is the more measured read at this price.